|
Click to E-mail Us |
|
A Citizen's Guide to Air Force Noise Modeling A Citizen’s Guide to Air Force Noise Modeling
Dr. William J. Weida
May 31, 2025
There are two ways to determine how annoyed people are by aircraft noise: [1] test their annoyance with the actual noise they will experience in the environment in which the experience will occur or [2] use twenty-year-old surveys on reactions to a different kind of noise by unrelated groups of people living in foreign, urban environments. This short guide will help you understand how the Air Force has pursued the second course of action.
The 1978 Schultz Study
Source: Schultz, Theodore, "Synthesis of Social Surveys on Noise Annoyance," Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, Vol. 64, 1978.
Table 1 Study Areas Used In The 1978 Schultz Paper
A 1978 study by Schultz based on the data in Table 1 forms the heart of the DEIS analysis. It was used by 1980 the Federal Interagency Committee on Urban Noise to establish the 65 dB threshold level and the other noise annoyance relationships in the land-use compatibility guidelines. Analyzing military aircraft noise in rural or wilderness environments with this study causes two critical problems: [1] The study mixed aircraft, street and rail noise instead of using aircraft noise only. [2] The study covered people in buildings in urban communities and did not consider non-urban environments. Note that throughout the DEIS, the Air Force refers to annoyance with community noise, not annoyance with aircraft noise in a wilderness environment--the ostensible subject of the DEIS.
Point 1: The noise analysis in the DEIS is based on a mix of tram, railroad, road and aircraft noise in urban communities--not on aircraft noise in a wilderness environment. Source: Fidell, S., Barber, D., and Schultz, T., "Updating a dosage-effect relationship for the prevalence of annoyance due to general transportation noise," Journal of the Acoustic Society Of America, Vol. 89, No. 1, January 1991, p. 224 and Finegold, L., Harris, C., and von Gierke, H., "Community annoyance with sleep disturbance," Noise Control Engineering Journal, Vol. 42, No. 1, January-February, 1994.
Figure 1 Comparison Of The Schultz And USAF/FICON Curves
Schultz used the data from his study to develop the curve shown in Figure 1 that relates annoyance to noise levels. Schultz’s attempt to fit this curve to his data was flawed because he did not correct for ‘outlying’ data points that improperly depressed the lower section of the curve. The points scattered along the horizontal axis of Figure 1 deform the curve and cause it to give lower annoyance readings in the 50 to 75 DNL range. Correcting this error shows that the Schultz model underestimated the percentage of people who are highly annoyed at the 65 DNL level by 7 to 13 percent. Schultz wrote in 1991 that there was a fear that "agencies which fund such studies [as Schultz’s] might erroneously conclude that the synthesis [Schultz’s Curve] represented a definitive solution to many of the problems assessing effects of noise exposure on communities."
Point 2: Schultz’s original model underestimates the percentage of people who are annoyed by urban noise in the 50 to 75 dB range by 7 to 13 percent. The Air Force compounded Schultz’s error with its 1994 model (also shown in Figure 1) by fitting the Schultz data with an S-shaped logistics curve. This improperly depresses the percentage of highly annoyed people in the 40 to 70 dB range by about 20% and the S-shaped curve requires one to believe that annoyance with noise grows less and less as noise increases above 75 dB--a concept supported by no acoustics research. The Air Force claims its model "does not differ substantially from the original [Schultz model], [and] is the current preferred form." In actuality, the USAF model only proves that a bad model (the Schultz curve) can be approximated by a worse model (the 1994 USAF model).
Point 3: The USAF model’s incorrect curve underestimates the number of people annoyed by urban noise in the 40 to 70 dB range by 15 to 20 percent.
The 1991 Fidell, Barber and Schultz Study
Source: Fidell, Sanford, Barber, David, S. and Schultz, Theodore, "Updating a dosage-effect relationship for the prevalence of annoyance due to general transportation noise," Journal of the Acoustic Society Of America, Vol. 89, No. 1, January 1991, p. 224.
Table 2 Updated Transportation Noise Data in the 1991 Study
In 1991 Schultz co-authored a paper with Fidell and Barber updating his 1978 study. This paper again stated that the Schultz curve represents "a relationship between transportation noise exposure and the prevalence of annoyance in communities." Hence, this paper also concerns communities, not wilderness or open space, and it concerns transportation noise, not aircraft noise. The paper used 15 studies that were completed after Schultz’s original research. [See Table 2.]
The new studies cover (with one exception) either aircraft noise or ground transportation noise, but not both. Figure 2 compares two representative aircraft noise/annoyance data sets from the 1991 paper with the 1978 Schultz curve and Figure 3 compares two representative tram/traffic noise/annoyance data sets from the same paper with the 1978 Schultz curve. Each of the new studies in the 1991 paper yields the same results: annoyance with aircraft noise is consistently higher than the 1978 Schultz and 1994 USAF models forecast while annoyance with road, tram and railway noise is consistently below that indicated by these models. Only when data on aircraft noise are combined with road, tram and rail noise are the Schultz and USAF models approximated. Source: Fidell, Sanford, Barber, David, S. and Schultz, Theodore, "Updating a dosage-effect relationship for the prevalence of annoyance due to general transportation noise," Journal of the Acoustic Society Of America, Vol. 89, No. 1, January 1991, p. 224.
Figure 2 Comparison Of Aircraft Annoyance Data To Schultz Curve (1978)
Point 4: The 1991 study by Fidell, Barber and Schultz confirmed that the Schultz curve consistently and substantially underestimated annoyance with aircraft noise.
This is the illogical premise on which the Schultz and Air Force models are based: lower annoyance levels with auto, tram and railroad noise are mixed with higher annoyance levels from aircraft noise to produce the average noise/annoyance levels represented by the Schultz and USAF curves. In fact, these curves represent neither kind of noise and, instead, fall in between the two groups.
Point 5: Using either the Schultz or USAF models to predict noise/annoyance relationships is analogous to claiming that someone who is highly annoyed by aircraft noise will become less annoyed if additional noise is created by automobiles, trains or trams. Source: Fidell, Sanford, Barber, David, S. and Schultz, Theodore, "Updating a dosage-effect relationship for the prevalence of annoyance due to general transportation noise," Journal of the Acoustic Society Of America, Vol. 89, No. 1, January 1991, p. 225, 226.
Figure 3 Comparison Of Traffic/Tram Annoyance Data To Schultz Curve (1978)
An Aircraft-Only Noise/Annoyance Model
Using data from studies 1, 4, 8, 9, 10, 12, and 14 in Table 2, this author constructed a new percent highly annoyed/DNL graph for aircraft noise alone. The rationale for building (and using) this new model is as follows: [1] A study such as this DEIS, which purports to investigate the effects of aircraft noise, should base its models on aircraft noise, not on train, tram or auto noise. [2] Other noise researchers have found that aircraft noise is significantly more disturbing than train, tram or auto noise: [a] Grandjean, in a Swiss study, found it took a DNL of 10 to 15 dB higher for road traffic noise to cause an equal disturbance to aircraft noise. [b] Kryter argued that because aircraft noise falls over a structure, like a house, equally, as opposed to passing through interfering structures such as traffic noise would do, the "effective noise exposure" is greater than that of traffic noise. Thus, Kryter found that aircraft noise should be considered separately from other transportation noise.
Figure 4 shows the resulting model of aircraft noise based on data in 1991 Fidell, Barber and Schultz study. This model is simpler and more logical than either Schultz’s model or the USAF model--there is a direct relationship between increasing DNL levels and annoyance in the 50 to 75 DNL range.
Figure 4 Aircraft Noise/Annoyance Model Using Aircraft Data Only
The Aircraft Noise/Annoyance Model predicts that at the 65 DNL threshold point about 30 percent of people will be highly annoyed by aircraft noise. This is more than double the level of annoyance forecast by either the 1978 Schultz curve (13.6%) or the USAF model (12.3%). There is ample evidence that this model, and not the Schultz or USAF models, more closely estimates true aircraft annoyance levels. For example: [1] A 1988 court case involved an Air Force estimate, based on the Schultz curve, that 700 people around Westover Air Force Base would be highly annoyed by aircraft noise. A survey found 1535 citizens who were highly annoyed--more than double the Schultz curve forecast. [2] von Gierke, in a paper done in 1973 for the EPA, showed Aircraft Noise/Annoyance levels that are roughly twice as high as those predicted by the Schultz and USAF curves. [3] A 1975 paper by Fidell and Jones developed a curve for aircraft annoyance at Los Angeles International Airport that shows about thirty percent of the respondents were highly annoyed at a DNL of 65. The rest of this curve also agrees closely with the model in Figure 4.. [4] Hall, Birnie, Taylor and Palmer, in a 1981 paper, showed that the percentage of those highly annoyed with aircraft noise was higher than that for "grouped road traffic data" at every DNL level. Further, the authors stated that "only one conclusion appears possible: There is a difference between the community responses to aircraft noise and to road traffic noise when each is measured by Ldn. For the same noise level, a greater percentage of people are highly annoyed by aircraft noise. The difference in annoyance at the two sources is not constant, but instead, increases as Ldn increases." [5] In a 1985 paper, Fidell, Horonjeff, Mills, Baldwin, Teffeteller and Pearsons found short-term annoyance and long-term annoyance with aircraft noise were both significantly higher than that forecast by the 1978 Schultz curve. These authors state that "Dosage-response relationships for these data do not agree well with that synthesized by Schultz..."
Point 6: Noise/annoyance estimates in the DEIS are less than half the actual percentage of people highly annoyed with aircraft noise. By not referring to any of these studies, the Air Force and its contractors have ignored 20 years of evidence that higher levels of annoyance exist for aircraft. This raises serious questions about the thoroughness and unbiasedness of this DEIS.
Land Use Compatibility
In June, 1980 a Federal Interagency Committee on Urban Noise used Schultz’s curve linking DNL and annoyance, along with other studies, to publish guidelines relating DNL and land use--the FAA Part 150 Land Use Compatibility Table. Urban land use compatibility was linked
Source: Enhanced Training in Idaho Draft Environmental Impact Statement, Department of the Air Force, Vol. II, April, 1997, p. K-11.
Table 3 Linkages Between Annoyance DNL and Land Use Compatibility
to the annoyance with noise those who inhabited the land would experience. As Table 3 shows, the divisions between the six DNL/land use columns confirms the importance of annoyance in establishing the breaks between the columns of compatible activities.
Given these relationship between annoyance and land use, one can apply the results of the Aircraft Noise/Annoyance Model from Figure 4 to the land use compatibility table. For example, at the threshold DNL level of 65, the Aircraft Noise/Annoyance Model predicts that about 30 percent of people will be annoyed. This corresponds to land use compatibility category 3, where residential use should not be attempted and where schools, outdoor amphitheaters, nature exhibits and zoos should not be built. Given these standards, the uses of airspace in this DEIS would not be possible at a DNL of 65. Or, viewed in reverse, the land use compatibility category of less than 65 DNL corresponds to an annoyance level of about 15 percent highly annoyed. This, in turn, corresponds to a 53 DNL level when aircraft noise alone is considered. This corresponds to the noise emitted by an A-10 at 20,000 feet altitude. All other aircraft in the DEIS exceed this level at all altitudes.
Point 7 : One can calculate aircraft noise annoyance/land use compatibility that is not degraded by the inclusion of other, irrelevant data. This shows that all aircraft the Air Force proposes to fly in the DEIS will exceed a 53 dB annoyance benchmark at all altitudes and that all four alternatives in the DEIS exceed this level for cumulative dB at 50 percent or more of their reference points.
Wilderness Noise
Aside from a general, one page discussion, the DEIS is strangely silent on the likely impacts of aircraft noise on wilderness users and inhabitants. Appendix K of the DEIS attempts to justify the compatibility of aircraft noise and recreation activities by citing the FAA land-use compatibility guidelines. However, these guidelines are for urban environments only and they often assume individuals are protected from the ambient sound environment by buildings that lower the dB levels to the 20dB to 35dB range. Obviously, these figures were never meant to apply to someone in the wilderness. Similarly, neither the 1978 Schultz paper, the 1991 Fidell, Barber and Schultz paper, nor the 1994 USAF study applies to wilderness noise experiences. All the data for these studies were gathered in urban locations. The DEIS itself states on numerous occasions that the data it uses depict "the noise impact in airport communities..." or on communities in general.
That urban noise data do not apply to wilderness noise problems is both common sense and common knowledge. This was confirmed in a recent Forest Service study that suggests that persons in wilderness settings are at least ten times more sensitive to aircraft noise than those in urban settings. Although the Air Force did discuss the study in the DEIS, it failed to mention this finding and its interpretation of the data in the rest of the study is questionable to the point of being disingenuous. Based on the noise calculations in the DEIS, the level of increased sensitivity reported in the Forest Service study would require an addition of approximately a 30 dB penalty beyond the levels calculated by the Aircraft Noise/Annoyance Model in the previous section. The Forest Service also found that "low-altitude, high-speed aircraft, such as those operating along MTR's, were reported as the most annoying type of aircraft to hear or see [and].....annoyance associated with over flights was more strongly related to noise exposure than to the visibility of aircraft..."
Point 8: None of the models used in the DEIS apply to wilderness noise exposure. Based on a recent Forest Service study, an additional penalty of about 30 dB should be added for wilderness noise exposure. << Back to Category Index | Back to News & Info Main Page |